The aim of this thesis is to extend the applications of the Quantile Regression Forest (QRF) algorithm to handle mixed-frequency and longitudinal data. To this end, standard statistical approaches have been exploited to build two novel algorithms: the Mixed- Frequency Quantile Regression Forest (MIDAS-QRF) and the Finite Mixture Quantile Regression Forest (FM-QRF).The MIDAS-QRF combines the flexibility of QRF with the Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) approach, enabling non-parametric quantile estimation with variables observed at different frequencies. FM-QRF, on the other hand, extends random effects machine learning algorithms to a QR framework, allowing for conditional quantile estimation in a longitudinal data setting. The contributions of thisdissertation lie both methodologically and empirically.Methodologically, the MIDAS-QRF and the FM-QRF represent two novel ap- proaches for handling mixed-frequency and longitudinal data in QR machine learning framework. Empirically, the application of the proposed models in fi- nancial risk management and climate-change impact evaluation demonstrates their validity as accurate and flexible models to be applied in complex empirical settings.

On Quantile Regression Forests for Modeling Mixed-Frequency and Longitudinal Data / Andreani, Mila; relatore esterno: Chiaromonte, Francesca; Scuola Normale Superiore, ciclo 36, 26-Sep-2024.

On Quantile Regression Forests for Modeling Mixed-Frequency and Longitudinal Data

ANDREANI, Mila
2024

Abstract

The aim of this thesis is to extend the applications of the Quantile Regression Forest (QRF) algorithm to handle mixed-frequency and longitudinal data. To this end, standard statistical approaches have been exploited to build two novel algorithms: the Mixed- Frequency Quantile Regression Forest (MIDAS-QRF) and the Finite Mixture Quantile Regression Forest (FM-QRF).The MIDAS-QRF combines the flexibility of QRF with the Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) approach, enabling non-parametric quantile estimation with variables observed at different frequencies. FM-QRF, on the other hand, extends random effects machine learning algorithms to a QR framework, allowing for conditional quantile estimation in a longitudinal data setting. The contributions of thisdissertation lie both methodologically and empirically.Methodologically, the MIDAS-QRF and the FM-QRF represent two novel ap- proaches for handling mixed-frequency and longitudinal data in QR machine learning framework. Empirically, the application of the proposed models in fi- nancial risk management and climate-change impact evaluation demonstrates their validity as accurate and flexible models to be applied in complex empirical settings.
26-set-2024
Settore SECS-S/01 - Statistica
Matematica e Informatica
36
Quantile Regression; Quantile Regression Forest; Longitudinal Data; Mixed-Frequency Data; SDQ score; Value-at-Risk; Climate Change; GDP
Chiaromonte, Francesca
Petrella, Lea
Salvati, Nicola
Scuola Normale Superiore
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11384/157586
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