Blockchain technology has revolutionized financial markets by enabling decentralized exchanges (DEXs) that operate without intermediaries. Uniswap V2, a leading DEX, facilitates the rapid creation and trading of new tokens, which offer high return potential but exposing investors to significant risks. In this work, we analyze the financial impact of newly created tokens, assessing their market dynamics, profitability and liquidity manipulations. Our findings reveal that a significant portion of market liquidity is trapped in honeypots, reducing market efficiency and misleading investors. Applying a simple buy-and-hold strategy, we are able to uncover some major risks associated with investing in newly created tokens, including the widespread presence of rug pulls and sandwich attacks. We extract the optimal sandwich amount, revealing that their proliferation in new tokens stems from higher profitability in low-liquidity pools. Furthermore, we analyze the fundamental differences between token price evolution in swap time and physical time. Using clustering techniques, we highlight these differences and identify typical patterns of honeypot and sellable tokens. Our study provides insights into the risks and financial dynamics of decentralized markets and their challenges for investors.

Price manipulation schemes of new crypto-tokens in decentralized exchanges

Naviglio M.;Tarantelli F.;Lillo F.
2026

Abstract

Blockchain technology has revolutionized financial markets by enabling decentralized exchanges (DEXs) that operate without intermediaries. Uniswap V2, a leading DEX, facilitates the rapid creation and trading of new tokens, which offer high return potential but exposing investors to significant risks. In this work, we analyze the financial impact of newly created tokens, assessing their market dynamics, profitability and liquidity manipulations. Our findings reveal that a significant portion of market liquidity is trapped in honeypots, reducing market efficiency and misleading investors. Applying a simple buy-and-hold strategy, we are able to uncover some major risks associated with investing in newly created tokens, including the widespread presence of rug pulls and sandwich attacks. We extract the optimal sandwich amount, revealing that their proliferation in new tokens stems from higher profitability in low-liquidity pools. Furthermore, we analyze the fundamental differences between token price evolution in swap time and physical time. Using clustering techniques, we highlight these differences and identify typical patterns of honeypot and sellable tokens. Our study provides insights into the risks and financial dynamics of decentralized markets and their challenges for investors.
2026
Settore STAT-04/A - Metodi matematici dell'economia e delle scienze attuariali e finanziarie
Dynamic Time Warping; Honeypot; New Tokens; Rug Pulls; Sandwich Attacks; Uniswap V2
   PRIN2022 DD N. 104 of February 2, 2022 ‘‘Liquidity and systemic risks in centralized and decentralized markets’’
   European Union NextGenerationEU

   SoBigData RI Preparatory Phase Project”
   SoBigData RI PPP
   European Commission
   Grant Agreement n. 101079043

   SoBigData++: European Integrated Infrastructure for Social Mining and Big Data Analytics.
   SoBigData-PlusPlus
   European Commission
   H2020
   871042
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11384/164465
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