Based on the fact that realized measures of volatility are affected by measurement errors, we introduce a new family of discrete-time stochastic volatility models having two measurement equations relating both observed returns and realized measures to the latent conditional variance. A semi-analytical option pricing framework is developed for this class of models. In addition, we provide analytical filtering and smoothing recursions for the basic specification of the model, and an effective MCMC algorithm for its richer variants. The empirical analysis shows the effectiveness of filtering and smoothing realized measures in inflating the latent volatility persistence—the crucial parameter in pricing Standard and Poor’s 500 Index options.

A Stochastic Volatility Model With Realized Measures for Option Pricing

Bormetti, Giacomo;Livieri, Giulia
2019

Abstract

Based on the fact that realized measures of volatility are affected by measurement errors, we introduce a new family of discrete-time stochastic volatility models having two measurement equations relating both observed returns and realized measures to the latent conditional variance. A semi-analytical option pricing framework is developed for this class of models. In addition, we provide analytical filtering and smoothing recursions for the basic specification of the model, and an effective MCMC algorithm for its richer variants. The empirical analysis shows the effectiveness of filtering and smoothing realized measures in inflating the latent volatility persistence—the crucial parameter in pricing Standard and Poor’s 500 Index options.
2019
Settore SECS-P/01 - Economia Politica
Settore SECS-P/02 - Politica Economica
Settore SECS-P/03 - Scienza delle Finanze
Settore SECS-P/06 - Economia Applicata
Settore SECS-P/05 - Econometria
Settore SECS-P/07 - Economia Aziendale
Settore SECS-P/08 - Economia e Gestione delle Imprese
Settore SECS-P/10 - Organizzazione Aziendale
Settore SECS-P/11 - Economia degli Intermediari Finanziari
Settore SECS-P/09 - Finanza Aziendale
Settore SECS-P/13 - Scienze Merceologiche
Settore SECS-P/12 - Storia Economica
Settore SECS-P/04 - Storia del Pensiero Economico
Settore SECS-S/01 - Statistica
Settore SECS-S/02 - Statistica per La Ricerca Sperimentale e Tecnologica
Settore SECS-S/03 - Statistica Economica
Settore SECS-S/04 - Demografia
Settore SECS-S/05 - Statistica Sociale
Settore SECS-S/06 - Metodi mat. dell'economia e Scienze Attuariali e Finanziarie
Bayesian inference, High-frequency data, Monte Carlo Markov chain, Option pricing, Realized volatility
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11384/83006
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